Interim results forecast that the lithium battery industry continues to maintain high growth

With the development of new energy vehicles, China's lithium battery industry is developing well. It is understood that the current lithium battery industry continues to maintain a high growth trend.

锂电行业继续保持高增长态势

Lithium battery industry continues to maintain high growth

As of May 30, 33 of the 53 A-share listed lithium battery companies have released interim results. Among them, 24 companies, such as turning losses, continuing to increase, slightly increasing, and pre-increasing, accounted for 72.7% of the total, continuing the high growth of the lithium battery industry.

The industry pointed out that the rapid development of the power battery and energy storage industry, as well as the booming production and sales of new energy vehicles, led to the shortage of power batteries, driving the rapid growth of the lithium battery materials market.

Wind statistics show that in 2016, the total revenue of listed companies in the lithium battery concept segment increased by 21.46% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company increased by 64.28%. In the first quarter of this year, the total net profit of the segment increased by 18.58% year-on-year. The raw materials in the upstream of the lithium battery industry chain, the lithium battery materials in the middle reaches, and the downstream battery manufacturing sectors all achieved growth.

With the implementation of the new energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2017, subsidies for new energy vehicle companies have gradually decreased. According to industry insiders, lithium batteries, as the core components of new energy vehicles, account for 40% to 60% of the total production cost of new energy passenger cars. Whether lithium battery companies can keep up with the policy decline process, cost reduction and efficiency is the key.

Lithium battery industry has good fundamentals

On the fundamentals, sales of new energy vehicles are expected to accelerate, and the demand for lithium batteries is uncertain. Affected by the market wait-and-see mood brought about by the first batch of catalogues on January 23, the February Spring Festival and policy uncertainty, it is expected that the sales volume of new energy vehicles will be weak in February, and will gradually increase and increase rapidly after March.

CICC's auto group expects domestic new energy vehicle sales to reach 70/1.1 million units in 2017/18, up 38%/57% year-on-year. It is expected that the target of holding 5 million vehicles and selling 2 million vehicles in 2020 is expected to be realized, driving demand for lithium batteries. It is expected that the average annual compound growth rate of lithium battery demand will be 34% from 2016 to 2020.

In the news, recently the "Power Battery Industry Development Action Plan" and the second batch of "New Energy Vehicle Recommended Catalogue" and other policies have been released, showing the government's determination to promote the new energy vehicle market.

The relevant policies put forward requirements for the capacity scale of battery companies, and proposed to lead the leading enterprises with production and sales scale exceeding 40Gwh by 2020, reflecting the policy trend of supporting leading enterprises. The concentration of the industry has increased. It is expected that the CR5 of the battery industry will exceed 70% in 2017, and the industry leader is expected to benefit in the long run.

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