Environmental protection standard switch: light truck industry benefits the most


On June 26, 2008, the Ministry of Environmental Protection issued the "Circular on Issues Relevant to the Implementation of the National Phase 3 Limits of Motor Vehicle Emissions" and decided that "from July 1, 2008, all of them will be in Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, etc." The N-type light diesel vehicles sold and registered in urban and motor vehicle-polluting cities must meet the requirements of the National III standard, and the sales and registration of N-type light diesel vehicles in the remaining areas can be transferred for one year." This means that after July 1, 2009, N-type light diesel vehicles sold nationwide (diesel vehicles with a maximum design total mass not exceeding 3.5 tons) must meet the national III emission standards.

Due to the higher cost of the State III engine, there is a difference of RMB 1-2 million between the National II light truck and the State III light truck. The overall selling price of light diesel vehicles is not high, and the country III switch is more important than the heavy truck industry. Therefore, the full implementation of the national III standard for light diesel vehicles will promote the 1-3Q09 overdraft consumption of the national II light truck. In 2008, heavy truck country III switching made heavy truck sales appear to be “high before and after low”. 1H08's overdraft consumption of State II heavy trucks led to an increase in sales of heavy trucks. Therefore, it is expected that similar situation will appear in the young card market today. The light truck related industries benefit the most. In the light passenger industry, most of the vehicles have already achieved the National III standard, and the degree of benefit is less than that of the light truck industry. In the micro-card and micro-customer industries, the main vehicles equipped with gasoline engines do not benefit greatly.

Switched by environmental protection standards, the sales performance of light-duty diesel vehicles and heavy-duty diesel vehicles will be quite different. First, environmental standards for light diesel vehicles are more difficult to implement. Compared with heavy trucks, the price of light trucks is low, and more segments of users are in rural areas. Secondly, there are low-end car-to-country policies implemented in the ten months after 2009. It is expected that farmers will smash consumption to enjoy policies before the end of the benefit period.




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